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Tuesday 20 November 2007

Qld DPI Report

20 November AM: There are 2176 Infected Properties (IPs) in Queensland. There were 29 new IPs identified since Saturday; 9 of these IPs are in the same road.

However, there is a continuing reduction in IPs due to reclassification to the status of R (Resolved). A property's R status means that its horses are no longer shedding the virus. Please maintain decontamination procedures and remain vigilant.

I am pleased to report that the latest trend analysis from the EI epidemic is looking promising. The following epidemic curve shows that it peaked in early October and has been declining ever since. Note that this is the overall epidemic curve for Queensland, and that some individual areas will show a different pattern.

An analysis of these trends by Dr Nigel Perkins from AUSVET Animal Health Services in conjunction with DPI&F has also supported the prediction that the outbreak should be largely under control by Christmas. However, a note of Caution, this scenario very much relies on people continuing to do the right thing and not spreading the virus into new areas.

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